UK open to Germany in GCAP, but likely not as full partner

Why there may be scope for Germany to contribute to GCAP, but why Japan and the UK have reservations about it joining as a full member.

UK GCAP 6th generation fighter jet Tempest over London

The United Kingdom is prepared to allow Germany to join its GCAP/Tempest program, although it may not be as a full partner. Germany could play a valuable role as a contributor to the program, particularly in non-core manned fighter aspects of the ‘system-of-systems.’

Report says UK willing to admit Germany to GCAP program

According to a new article by The Telegraph, Britain is ready to admit Germany to its sixth-generation fighter jet program. The UK is leading the development of the Global Combat Air Program (GCAP) sixth-generation fighter jet in partnership with Italy and Japan. The publication cited unnamed “industry sources.”

GCAP 6th generation fighter jet with partner flags
Photo: Leonardo

Even so, it appears too late to admit Germany as a full partner at the level of the existing three partners. The program is simply too far along, and the time restraints are too urgent. The three countries are already finalizing worksharing agreements, and renegotiating Germany as a full member would slow it down.

Instead, the suggestion is that Germany may have an input in certain aspects of GCAP, including the drone platforms that are expected to accompany it. Germany could also join as a buyer.

It’s worth noting that, as a ‘system-of-systems’, there is more to the project than just the manned fighter. The aircraft will need loyal wingman drones and other advanced systems.

The Japan question on new GCAP partners

While the UK may be leading the GCAP program, it will need to have Japan on board with any new decision. For Japan, this is the first time they have developed a fighter jet with any country other than the United States.

The country lacks experience in worksharing with international partners and is known to be wary of complicated international defence projects. The UK is seen as more eager to invite more partners (like Saudi Arabia) to the program than Japan.

GCAP Tempest over Japan
Photo: Leonardo

But perhaps more critically, Japan wants the GCAP fighter jet in service ASAP. The first demonstrator flight is scheduled to fly in 2027 and then enter service in 2035. Around that time, Japan is scheduled to be retiring many of its Mitsubishi F-2 fighter jets (a licensed derivative of the F-16).

According to Professor Justin Bronk, GCAP is being designed to overmatch future Chinese fighter jets. For Japan, that requirement is somewhat urgent.

The requirement is not as urgent for Italy and the UK. In the future, Russia is expected to continue falling behind Chinese fighter jet designs and is expected to eventually purchase Chinese jets. While Chinese next-generation jets are already flying, Russia’s remain mockups, and it is unable to scale up production of its overhyped Su-57.

Still, one benefit for the UK in having Germany as a non-core member is that it could weaken or remove Germany’s ability to veto potential exports.

The UK’s efforts to export Typhoon Eurofighter jets to Saudi Arabia and Turkey have met opposition in Berlin that threatened to veto the sales for years. This remains fresh in the minds of many in London. A lull in orders resulted in the UK’s Typhoon production line becoming idle.

No good options for Germany 

Tensions between Germany and France on the FCAS next-generation fighter jet have been boiling away for years now. France’s Dassault says it knows how to build a sixth-generation fighter jet and is no longer interested in the current arrangement where decisions are required from all three partners (the third being Spain).

Airbus render of FCAS
Photo: Airbus

Dassault has demanded decision-making rights and 80% of the workshare. It has also dared Germany’s Airbus to walk away.

Germany has no good options if it ditches the FCAS program. If it joins GCAP, it would have less workshare and less say in the program than it does in the FCAS program.

Another option for Germany is developing a next-generation fighter jet with Sweden. Sweden produces the Gripen fighter jet and is also known to be considering its next-generation options. It is unclear what Spain would do if France and Germany broke up.

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