Dubai Airshow order rumours: The airlines expected to buy aircraft at the show

From Emirates to Turkish Airlines, the rumour mill so far is proving exciting.

Emirates A350-900 taxiing on the tarmac

With just days to go until the 2025 Dubai Airshow opens its doors, the aviation world is abuzz with rumours of orders that could be placed during the show.

Taking place from 17 – 21 November, Dubai Airshow is one of the biggest and most significant trade shows in the aviation calendar. It often plays host to the signing of billions of dollars in aircraft deals.

In 2023, more than $80 billion of commitments were signed for around 1,300 aircraft. Given that backdrop, expectations are somewhat tempered for 2025, but there’s definitely expected to be some order action.

AGN has rounded up the latest Dubai Airshow order rumours; we will see which ones come true.

Bookmark our page to stay up to date with the latest Dubai Airshow news.

Dubai Airshow aircraft order rumours

According to Dr Stuart Hatcher, Chief Economist at aviation data and consultancy firm IBA, we can expect to see more than 300 commercial aircraft orders in Dubai next week.

While defence delegations are prominent at the airshow, it is unusual for military purchases to be announced during the week itself. The bulk of the attention, therefore, is focused squarely on the commercial side.

The airlines rumoured to be ordering in Dubai

 

Airline / Lessor Aircraft Mentioned Notes Likelihood
A330neo, additional A350s Evaluating widebody additions 🟢 High
30 A350-1000s Long-delayed order expected 🟢 High
Boeing + Airbus (possible split) Potential first-ever mixed narrowbody fleet 🟡 Medium
150 737 MAX, 75 787-9/-10 Large deal already announced; Dubai confirmation likely 🟢 High
A320neo, A350F, 737 MAX 8 Could convert options or top up orders 🟡 Medium
25 A350-1000s Formal signing/visibility expected 🟢 High
12–18 Boeing 787s Announced earlier; may be formally showcased 🟡 Medium
TBD Future fleet strategy expected 🔴 Low
TBD widebody / narrowbody Order could counter IndiGo expansion 🔴 Low
Future widebody needs Decisions unlikely until next year 🔴 Low
Potential 787 / narrowbody mix Fleet needs to scale significantly 🔴 Low
A350-900 additions Recently topped up orders; no new rumour 🔴 Low

The airlines almost certain to order at Dubai Airshow

Rumours have emerged that both Emirates and Etihad are gearing up to announce orders at the airshow.  Emirates is rumoured to order 30 Airbus A350-1000 aircraft as well as options to increase the commitment further down the line. It has previously been reluctant to opt for the type due to concerns over engine performance.

At the Dubai Airshow in 2023, Emirates President Tim Clark said that the engines are unable to offer sufficient time on the wing until the next maintenance cycle for the carrier to warrant an order. If “they can do that at a maintenance cost per hour that’s alright for us,” he said, Emirates would order the plane.

When Qatar Airways opted for up to 210 widebody Boeing aircraft earlier this year, that was partially down to engine performance concerns with the A350-1000, sources told Bloomberg.

Etihad Airways is apparently eying the Airbus A330neo: a first for the three major Gulf airlines. Etihad Airways does have experience with the aircraft family, having operated the Airbus A330ceo in the past. It retired its last in 2020. It is also looking at more Airbus A350s, sources told Reuters.

Etihad Airways Airbus A330 landing at Brussels Airport
Photo: Björn Wylezich | stock.adobe.com

Some of the rumoured orders are more about formal signings for earlier letters of intent or MoUs.

Among those predicted to use the platform for a high-profile formalisation are:

Turkish Airlines Boeing 737 MAX 8
Photo: Anna Zvereva / Wikimedia

While the Turkish order is reported to be concluded, Boeing is not out of the woods with the airline just yet. Negotiations are ongoing for an engine supplier, and the airline is driving a hard bargain.

CEO Ahmet Bolat told Reuters that if engine agreements stall, “we’ll turn another page” and look to Airbus.

Other Dubai Airshow order rumours are less certain

On the list of possible orders is AviLease, which announced 10 A350Fs and 30 A320neos in Paris in June, and 20 Boeing 737 MAX 8s in May. It could exercise its options for any of these aircraft types in Dubai.

Saudia is expected to announce its future fleet strategy as it settles in as the country’s second carrier after the newly launched Riyadh Air. It signed for 10 A330neos in April this year with 10 options, and could well excercise those options to shine the spotlight on its fleet renewal.

Air India was expected to announce an order at the 2025 Paris Air Show earlier this year. However, following the tragic accident involving one of its Boeing 787 aircraft, this remained a rumour. In Dubai, an order might be possible as it looks to counter IndiGo’s aggressive expansion plans and grow and renew its own operation.

Elsewhere, IBA believes Oman Air, Gulf Air, Royal Air Maroc and EgyptAir to be “potentially shy of where they need to be to satisfy fleet growth and replacement requirements.”

EgyptAir made important decisions earlier this year when it publicly revealed the purchase of six more Airbus A350-900 planes in Paris. This built on its commitment for 10 back at the Dubai Air Show in 2023.

In July, Gulf Air announced the purchase of 12 Boeing 787s with options for six more to facilitate international expansion.

Gulf Air Boeing 787 Dreamliner
Photo: Boeing

Oman Air admitted earlier this year, in an interview with Aviation Week, that it would need additional capacity in the 2030s. However, it said in June that a decision is expected “sometime next year”, meaning it might not announce anything just yet.

Royal Air Maroc, which announced two new Boeing 787 routes to Boston and Los Angeles earlier this week, will also need more planes. It hopes to quadruple its fleet – which currently totals 60 planes – by 2037. For that, no doubt, it will eventually need to sign for additional orders.

Finally, low-cost flydubai might also make a statement. Airbus is pushing for an order with the company, though Boeing is also trying its luck. Sources told Reuters that a split deal between the two is likely, although nothing is confirmed just yet.

The AGN team will be on the ground in Dubai, bringing you all the latest airshow news. Bookmark our page to stay up to date.

Featured image: franz massard | stock.adobe.com

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